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[专业出版物] Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making

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Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making

Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision mak-ing
David Hardman (Editor), Laura Macchi (Co-Editor)
ISBN: 978-0-471-49457-7
Hardcover
392 pages
May 2004
Wiley List Price:  US $230.00

Edited by Dr David Hardman, London Metropolitan University, UK and Professor Laura Macchi, University of Milan-Bicocca, Italy.

Decription

The first international handbook to bring the areas of reasoning, judgment and decision mak-ing together, now in pa-perback format.

The book brings three of the important topics of thinking together - reasoning, judgment and decision mak-ing â and discusses key issues in each area. The studies described range from those that are purely laboratory based to those that involve experts mak-ing real world judgments, in areas such as medical and legal decision mak-ing and political and economic forecasting.  
  • International collection of original chapters by leading researchers in the field
  • Several chapters contain important new theoretical perspectives
  • pa-perback version is more affordable for individual researchers

Table of Contents

List of Contributors.
Introduction.

Part I: Reasoning.

Chapter 1: A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (Jonathan St. B.T. Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley).
Chapter 2: Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning Strategies (Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J. Newton).
Chapter 3: Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (Padraic Monaghan and Keith Stenning).
Chapter 4: Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals (Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow).
Chapter 5: Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (Guy Politzer).
Chapter 6: Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order Effects (Mike Oaksford and Nick Chater).

Part II: Judgment.

Chapter 7: Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability (Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun).
Chapter 8: Possibilities and Probabilities (Paolo Legrenzi, Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N. Johnson-Laird).
Chapter 9: The Partitive Conditional Probability (Laura Macchi).
Chapter 10: ** and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch, Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster).
Chapter 11: More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive Limits (Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd).
Chapter 12: Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics (Philip E. Tetlock).

Part III: Decision mak-ing.

Chapter 13: Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision mak-ing (A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J. Bown).
Chapter 14: Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty (Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See).
Chapter 15: Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision mak-ing (Robert M. Hamm).
Chapter 16: On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability (Gideon Keren and W¨andi Bruine de Bruin).

Author Index.

Subject Index.

附件

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